Tag Archives: Fed


Stock Market Investing: The Dubai Implications, Investment Strategy: Generational Move Unfolding For Gold and Silver Prices

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — The news that the sovereign wealth fund of Dubai requested a postponement of billions of dollars of debt this week could pose a big problem for U.S. banks… …Bove said the underlying problem is that there is a lot of uncertainty floating around. For example, there’s little information available about counterparty derivatives, guarantees that transfer default […]

Housing Starts Crater, Economy Woes Tie Fed Hands, GLD Warnings, Paulson & Touradji Make Bold Gold Statements

Mid-week and the economic numbers continue to disappoint. However, equity investors should take heart and view the chart above. This is a monthly chart illustrating the direction of the US$ and the inverse relationship with the S&P500. The chart dates back to 2000, but you can see the correlation has become more intense in the last 12 months. So, as […]

Stock Market Investing: Stay the Course & Ride the Wave, GDP not 3.5%?, Economic Numbers Troublesome, Hyperinflation Rapidly Approaching

Stock Market Investing: No change from last week. The technicals didn’t get much better but an overwhelming tsunami of weak economic data helped to drive the US$ lower and drove both hard asset prices and equity prices higher.Read More… …Meanwhile, even as Brazil implements policy changes to stop its currency from appreciating, the Real advances adding credence to the Economist […]

Stock Market Investing: Technical/Fundamental Battle, Investment Strategy: Ride the Gravy Train, FOMC Policy, Consumer Credit, Busi. Bankruptcy

Stock Market Investing: A battle between investment disciplines has developed over the last 3 weeks. As discussed in the Oct. 28th post, numerous warning signs of a technical nature are flashing. However, last week’s news headlines were replete with US$ bearish/equity market bullish fundamental data. Which discipline will ultimately prevail, technical or fundamental? The answer is unclear, for now we […]

Investment Strategy, Equity Market Trouble, “Positive” GDP, Norway Increases Rates

Stock Market Investing: The equity averages are down another 2.5+% today capping off an awful week during which time the uptrends from March and the 50day moving averages have been violated. The price action should not come as a shock but instead as a reminder of the tightrope the Fed must walk in order to keep this economic house of […]

Investment Strategy Turns More Cautious, Existing Home Sales, Record Auctions This Week, Galleon Grief

Stock Market Investing: The Equity markets were down across the board Friday as the week ended. Last week was a week of churning and distribution, two actions I hate to see during a market advance as they often mark the end of a rally. To make matters worse the churning has occurred at key areas of resistance on all three […]

RCM Investment Strategy, Earning GS/JPM/INTC/GOOG, Industrial Production Surges, Michigan Sentiment Misses, 60% Of Borrowers Underwater, Fed’s Fisher

Tea Leaves; in the last couple of days there have been a lot of them, so let’s start reading:The tangible parts of GS’s earnings were suspect (Investment Banking -38%, Asset Management -6%, Trading and Principal Investments -7%) while the FICC unit (Fixed Income, Currency, Commodities) showed all the gain. “Net revenues in FICC were $5.99 billion, significantly higher than the […]

The Inflation Trade, Alcoa EPS, Obama’s New Stimulus Plan, Australia’s Interest Rate Increase, Commercial Real Estate Woes

Today we are going to follow the footprints of the hyper-inflation/stagflation trade that I have been writing so much about. By simply understanding the impact of the important news stories and avoiding the noise of the traditional media outlets, tracking our quarry will be relatively easy. AA Alcoa beats by $0.13, beats on revs (14.20 +0.31) Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings […]

Employment Report Weakness, Fed’s Pianalto & Rosengren Dovish Statements, Credit Markets Don’t Confirm Sell Off

The economic news continues to be terrible. The knee jerk reaction; sell off the equity markets run into U.S. treasuries. This type of action would only make sense to the person who ran directly from his cabin into the galley on the Titanic and felt he had gained safety. Furthermore, this fatuous trade into T-bonds has place a brainless bid […]

Proceed with Caution

            It is now evident that this recession has uncovered a number of substantial flaws in our country’s financial industry. The now-exposed wounds became so complex that it took a meltdown of this size to identify them and it will take a long, sluggish recovery for them to heal. The majority of the flaws in our financial system hit individual […]