Astonishing Lack Of Response By Fund Investors To Spike In Bond Yields

New York (HedgeCo.Net) Investment Research reports that fund investors have been remarkably unfazed by surging yields on Treasuries and investment-grade corporate bonds. Bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds have managed to take in $5.3 billion in June through Friday, June 5 even though these funds are down 0.9% month-to-date.

“The lack of reaction to the backup in bond yields since mid-April is startling,” said David Santschi, chief executive officer of TrimTabs. “We would normally expect investors to be selling hard by now.”

In a research note, TrimTabs explained that the yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed from 1.85% on April 17 to 2.40% on June 5, an increase of 55 basis points. Nevertheless, bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds have taken in $5.3 billion ($1.1 billion daily) in June after losing a scant $850 million ($40 million daily) in May.

“The contrast between what’s happening now and what happened amid the ‘taper tantrum’ in mid-2013 has been dramatic,” noted Santschi. “The yield on the 10-year note rose 80 basis points in May 2013 and June 2013, which helped trigger the record outflow of $68.6 billion from bond funds in June 2013.”

TrimTabs explained that the lack of selling in the wake of the recent poor performance of bond fund is a negative sign from a contrarian perspective. “Such indifference to losses points to higher bond yields ahead,” said Santschi.

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