ValueWalk – With the non-farm payroll report coming out on Friday, the market appears to be preparing for bear steepening (rising long-term rates) by increasing the net short position on short term U.S. Treasuries and increasing the net short on 10 year US Treasury bonds, though there is a marked difference between flows from different types of investors.
“Over the last month, investors have doubled their net long at the front end. While this may reflect increased faith in lower policy rates for longer (as well as flight to quality) the increase in the short in 10s suggests that this the market as a whole is in little doubt about the ongoing withdrawal of liquidity,” writes Citi analyst Robert Crossley.
